Labour is 'undoubtedly the favourite' to win Holborn and St Pancras by-election, Sir John Curtice tells GB News
Professor Sir John Curtice has told GB News that Labour is currently "favourite" to win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, following Sir Keir Starmer's resignation.
TL;DR
- Professor Sir John Curtice considers Labour the favorite for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
- The Greens are seen as having a chance, but less so than two months ago.
- In local elections on May 7th, the Greens were ten points behind Labour, but this gap narrows to four points when considering wards where the Greens did not contest.
- The Greens' poll numbers have weakened since May 7th.
- Labour's numbers are benefiting from the "Burnham bounce."